3 Insights into the Millennial Investor

Millennial Investors and their Investing Strategies

*+-Generation Y—also known as the Millennial Generation—refers to the population segment born between the early 1980s and late 1990s. Like most generational cadres, this demographic tends to have a different set of values and preferences than its predecessors, and research[1] indicates that these differences become especially clear when it comes to investing. Already, several themes… Read More


Oil, Markets, Volatility

Oil, Markets, Volatility

David R. Kotok

*+-Sharply lower oil prices have occasioned a huge discussion about their impact. We see it play out daily in newspapers, on TV and radio, at websites, on blogs, and in market letters. The range of forecasts runs from one extreme to another. On one side, pundits predict a recession resulting from a US energy sector… Read More


Handcuff Volunteers and the Rally of 2013

Geoff Considine

*+-The S&P500 is up by 26% for the year-to-date, despite the fact that employment growth is anemic, the labor participation rate is at its lowest point in thirty five years, and inflation-adjusted GDP growth is experiencing a long-term slowing (see chart below).  GDP turns negative in recessions—this is the definition of a recession—but has historically… Read More


Real Household Incomes: How Goes the Recovery?

Geoff Considine

*+-Doug Short has written a great article on median U.S. household income through time.  He shows that the median household income in the U.S., adjusted for inflation, has fallen by 7.2% since 2000 and is 7.9% below the peak reached near the start of 2008, as we entered the last recession.  How do we reconcile… Read More


Why Bond Yields Scare Me More Than Friday the 13th

Geoff Considine

*+-Stock investors generally don’t have much to fear on Friday the 13th. Historically, Friday the 13th is a relatively calm day for stocks. Jason Zweig, who writes The Wall Street Journal’s Intelligent Investor column, says it’s usually a good day for investors and says superstition about trading on this supposedly unlucky day is one of… Read More


Housing Prices and the Economy: Is There Any Good News?

Geoff Considine

*+-New data shows that housing prices are not improving. Nationally, prices have now dropped 34.4% from their peak in 2006.  Prices are now the lowest they have been since the end of 2002, according to the Case/Shiller index.  Robert Shiller, co-creator of the index and long-term researcher on housing prices, warns that risks remain and… Read More